Countries

Germany

Legislative · 24 October 2026, from 411 polls
Bundestag630 seats
AfD
211seats
29.1%+59
CDU/CSU
140seats
19.2%−68
Grüne
106seats
14.5%+21
SPD
97seats
13.3%−23
Linke
76seats
10.5%+12
Government→
Friedrich MerzChancellor
CDUCSUSPD
Last election→
CDU/CSU28.5%
First place
Our projection→
AfD29.1%
Leading, +8.3 since the election
Next election
By 25 March 2029
in 2 years

How it votes

The rules for the Bundestag

Chamber
Bundestag
Lower house of the federal parliament
Electoral system
Mixed-member proportional
A constituency vote and a party-list vote
Seats
630
Fixed since 2025; 299 constituencies
Majority
316 seats
Threshold
5%
Or 3 constituencies; minority parties exempt
First election
14 August 1949
West Germany; all of Germany since 1990
Latest election
23 February 2025
Bundestag