Countries
Romania
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 41 polls since the 2024 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- AUR37.1%±5.1+19.1 since 2024
- PSDG20.5%±3.9−1.5 since 2024
- PNL16.5%±3.6+3.3 since 2024
- USR8.6%±2.5−3.8 since 2024
- UDMR4.8%±1.9−1.5 since 2024
- SENS2.7%±1.5−0.3 since 2024
- SOS2.5%±1.4−4.8 since 2024
- POT1.9%±1.2−4.6 since 2024
- PMP1.0%±0.8−1.0 since 2024
- Others3.5%−3.3 since 2024
- REPER0.9%−0.4
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2024 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2024 election
41 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | AUR | PSD | PNL | USR | UDMR | SENS | SOS | POT | PMP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | |||||||||||
16–22 Sep · 1,100 | 34 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | – | – | 5 | AUR+9.0 |
12–22 Sep · 1,020 | 36 | 23 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | AUR+13.0 |
1–7 Sep · 1,100 | 39.7 | 18.7 | 16.3 | 9 | 5.5 | 4.1 | 2.7 | 2.7 | – | 1.2 | AUR+21.0 |
| July 2026 | |||||||||||
14–24 Jul · 1,108 | 34 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 4 | – | 3 | – | – | 6 | AUR+11.0 |
30 Jun – 3 Jul · 1,774 | 36.4 | 17.9 | 22.4 | 10.5 | 4.9 | 1.9 | 2.9 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | AUR+14.0 |
29 Jun – 2 Jul · 1,002 | 40 | 21 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | – | 4 | AUR+19.0 |
| May 2026 | |||||||||||
11–14 May · 1,100 | 38.2 | 17.5 | 20.3 | 10 | 5 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 1.9 | – | 1.8 | AUR+17.9 |
1–14 May · 1,664 | 32 | 24 | 20 | 10 | 5 | – | 3 | – | – | 6 | AUR+8.0 |
1 May · 1,145 | 33 | 14.1 | 21 | 15.3 | – | – | – | – | – | 16.6 | AUR+12.0 |
28 Apr – 1 May · 1,098 | 34 | 23 | 18 | 10 | 5 | – | 3 | 2 | – | 5 | AUR+11.0 |
| April 2026 | |||||||||||
1–10 Apr · 1,187 | 35.8 | 17.2 | 14.2 | 11.2 | 5.5 | 2.6 | 6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 2.8 | AUR+18.6 |
1–7 Apr · 1,100 | 37 | 20.1 | 15.5 | 12.7 | 4.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 3.6 | – | 1.7 | AUR+16.9 |
26 Mar – 4 Apr · 1,008 | 36 | 18 | 16 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | – | 4 | AUR+18.0 |
| March 2026 | |||||||||||
23–27 Mar · 1,517 | 33 | 24 | 16 | 9 | 5 | – | 4 | 3 | – | 6 | AUR+9.0 |
10–17 Mar · 1,000 | 35 | 22 | 14 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | AUR+13.0 |
How each pollster is weighted10 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
INSCOPVery high
ARPVery high
AvangardeVery high
IRESVery high
FlashDataVery high
USRVery high
INSOMARVery high
VerifieldVery high
SociopolHigh
CURSAverage
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Romanian parliamentary election (Chamber of Deputies), each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.