Countries
Lithuania
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 47 polls since the 2024 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- TS-LKD22.6%±4.5+4.2 since 202454 seats+26
- LSDPG14.3%±3.2−5.4 since 202427 seats−25
- NA12.7%±3.5−2.6 since 202419 seats−1
- LVŽSG10.9%±2.9+3.7 since 202414 seats+6
- LS9.3%±2.6+1.4 since 202411 seats−1
- NaS6.1%±2.7+3.2 since 20246 seats+5
- DSVLG5.2%±2.9−4.2 since 20245 seats−9
- LLRA-KŠS3.9%±1.6±0.0 since 20242 seats−1
- LP3.5%±2.2−1.2 since 2024No seats
- DP2.3%±1.3+0.1 since 2024No seats
- Others5.8%+3.1 since 20242 seats
- LRP1.9%−0.1· 1 seat
- TTS1.4%±0.0
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2024 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2024 election
47 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | TS-LKD | LSDP | NA | LVŽS | LS | NaS | DSVL | LLRA-KŠS | LP | DP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | ||||||||||||
23 Sep – 5 Oct · 1,025 | 20.7 | 16.3 | 14.1 | 13.9 | 7.7 | 6.6 | 6.2 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3.6 | TS-LKD+4.4 |
| September 2026 | ||||||||||||
16–26 Sep · 1,020 | 24.5 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 10.5 | 11.6 | 6.1 | 5 | – | 3.5 | – | 12.7 | TS-LKD+11.1 |
| August 2026 | ||||||||||||
20–31 Aug · 1,002 | 17.4 | 17 | 12.4 | 14.3 | 9 | 7.2 | 7.3 | 4.1 | 3 | 4.1 | 4.2 | TS-LKD+0.4 |
| July 2026 | ||||||||||||
21–31 Jul · 1,002 | 19.3 | 15.2 | 15.3 | 11.6 | 10.3 | 3.6 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 4.7 | 5.8 | TS-LKD+4.0 |
18–28 Jul · 1,022 | 22.9 | 14.3 | 12 | 7.9 | 11.5 | 6.1 | 6.5 | – | 5.2 | – | 13.5 | TS-LKD+8.6 |
| June 2026 | ||||||||||||
19–30 Jun · 1,010 | 16.7 | 16.1 | 14 | 13.6 | 9.2 | 5.3 | 8 | 2.9 | 3.7 | 5.7 | 4.7 | TS-LKD+0.6 |
18–28 Jun · 1,022 | 24.4 | 16.9 | 8.4 | 8.1 | 12.6 | 5.6 | 5 | – | 3.3 | – | 15.7 | TS-LKD+7.5 |
| May 2026 | ||||||||||||
21–31 May · 1,011 | 16.9 | 17.9 | 12.4 | 14.4 | 10.4 | 2.3 | 5.2 | 4 | 4.1 | 6.6 | 5.8 | LSDP+1.0 |
18–30 May · 1,022 | 23.2 | 13.3 | 9.4 | 8.5 | 11.3 | 5.8 | 2.9 | – | 4.4 | – | 21.2 | TS-LKD+9.9 |
23 Apr – 7 May · 1,000 | 16.7 | 18.1 | 16.5 | 14.3 | 11.4 | 2.8 | 5.1 | 2.9 | 2.9 | 5 | 7.1 | LSDP+1.4 |
| April 2026 | ||||||||||||
18–28 Apr · 1,021 | 24.8 | 11.9 | 10.3 | 13.3 | 12.1 | 5.6 | 5.2 | – | 3.4 | – | 13.3 | TS-LKD+11.5 |
| March 2026 | ||||||||||||
19–30 Mar · 1,009 | 18.3 | 17.4 | 12.6 | 12.8 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 12.3 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 4.9 | 3.1 | TS-LKD+0.9 |
18–28 Mar · 1,013 | 23.3 | 13.6 | 9.1 | 8.5 | 13.6 | 4.8 | 7.4 | – | 5.4 | – | 14.4 | TS-LKD+9.7 |
19 Feb – 2 Mar · 1,014 | 15.9 | 17.7 | 13.1 | 13.2 | 8.3 | – | 12.2 | 4.1 | 3.2 | 5.3 | 7 | LSDP+1.8 |
| February 2026 | ||||||||||||
18–28 Feb · 1,015 | 21.9 | 11.4 | 11.6 | 9.6 | 13.3 | 5.1 | 6.8 | – | 4 | – | 16.2 | TS-LKD+8.6 |
How each pollster is weighted4 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Spinter tyrimaiVery high
Baltijos tyrimaiVery high
Norstat LTVery high
VilmorusVery high
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Lithuanian parliamentary election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection and the seats are worked out: Methodology.