Countries
Ireland
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 45 polls since the 2024 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- SF21.9%±3.9+2.9 since 2024
- FFG16.7%±3.4−5.2 since 2024
- FGG16.5%±3.5−4.3 since 2024
- SD9.4%±2.6+4.6 since 2024
- Aon7.4%±2.3+3.5 since 2024
- II6.3%±2.7+2.7 since 2024
- Lab3.9%±1.6−0.8 since 2024
- PBP–S3.3%±1.5+0.5 since 2024
- GP2.9%±1.4−0.1 since 2024
- Others11.7%−3.8 since 2024
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2024 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2024 election
45 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | SF | FF | FG | SD | Aon | II | Lab | PBP–S | GP | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | ||||||||||
21 Oct · 1,010 | 22 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 3 | SF+7.0 |
2 Oct · 1,875 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | SF+1.0 |
| September 2026 | ||||||||||
22 Sep · 1,200 | 23 | 18 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | SF+5.0 |
9 Sep · 1,010 | 21 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | SF+3.0 |
4 Sep · 1,044 | 21 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | SF+2.0 |
| July 2026 | ||||||||||
31 Jul · 1,384 | 20 | 16 | 20 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Tie |
3 Jul · 1,279 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | FG+1.0 |
| June 2026 | ||||||||||
24 Jun · 1,010 | 21 | 14 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | SF+3.0 |
5 Jun · 1,625 | 20 | 16 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | SF+1.0 |
| May 2026 | ||||||||||
27 May · 1,010 | 21 | 15 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | SF+4.0 |
1 May · 1,774 | 22 | 17 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | SF+5.0 |
| April 2026 | ||||||||||
22 Apr · 1,008 | 25 | 16 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | SF+9.0 |
3 Apr · 1,286 | 22 | 19 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | SF+3.0 |
| March 2026 | ||||||||||
25 Mar · 1,010 | 24 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | SF+6.0 |
| February 2026 | ||||||||||
27 Feb · 1,200 | 22 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | SF+4.0 |
How each pollster is weighted4 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
Red CVery high
Ireland ThinksVery high
–Very high
Ipsos B&AVery high
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Irish general election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.