Countries

European Union

Each member state's latest projection of its national polls, its parties sorted into their groups in the European Parliament, and its seats shared out with its own European election rules. Polls up to 24 October 2026. The European People's Party would stay the largest group with 180 of 720 seats.

The Left

The Left
57
seats · +11 since 2024
  • GermanyLinke11
  • FranceNFP23+ S&D, Greens/EFA
  • ItalyM5S11AVS5+ Greens/EFA
  • SpainFA4Podemos1EH Bildu0
  • PolandRazem0
  • NetherlandsPvdD1SP1
  • BelgiumPVDA-PTB4
  • GreeceM250SYRIZA0
  • PortugalCDU0+ Greens/EFABE0
  • SwedenV2
  • AustriaKPÖ0
  • DenmarkØ1
  • FinlandVAS2
  • IrelandSF4SD2PBP–S0
  • SloveniaL1
  • CyprusAKEL
  • LuxembourgDL0

S&D

Socialists & Democrats
116
seats · −20 since 2024
  • GermanySPD13
  • FranceNFP23+ The Left, Greens/EFA
  • ItalyPD18
  • SpainPSOE18
  • PolandLewica4
  • RomaniaPSD8
  • NetherlandsPRO7+ Greens/EFA
  • BelgiumPS2Vooruit2
  • Czech RepublicSOCDEM0
  • GreecePASOK3
  • PortugalPS7
  • SwedenS6
  • AustriaSPÖ3
  • BulgariaBSP0
  • DenmarkA4
  • FinlandSDP4
  • IrelandLab0
  • CroatiaSDP3
  • LithuaniaLSDP2
  • SloveniaSD1
  • EstoniaSDE1
  • CyprusDIKOEDEK
  • LuxembourgLSAP1
  • MaltaPL

Greens/EFA

Greens–European Free Alliance
42
seats · −11 since 2024
  • GermanyGrüne15
  • FranceNFP23+ The Left, S&D
  • ItalyAVS5+ The Left
  • SpainERC1
  • NetherlandsPRO7+ S&DVolt0
  • BelgiumGroen0Ecolo0
  • Czech RepublicPiráti2Z0
  • PortugalL1CDU0+ The LeftPAN0
  • SwedenMP1
  • AustriaGrüne3
  • DenmarkF1
  • FinlandVIHR1
  • IrelandGP0
  • CroatiaMožemo2
  • LithuaniaDSVL1
  • LatviaPRO
  • SloveniaPVP0V0
  • CyprusVolt
  • LuxembourgDG0

Renew

Renew Europe
58
seats · −19 since 2024
  • GermanyFDP4
  • FranceENS14
  • ItalyA0IV0+Europa0
  • RomaniaUSR3PMP0
  • NetherlandsD664VVD3
  • BelgiumMR2LE1Open Vld0
  • PortugalIL1
  • SwedenC1L1
  • AustriaNEOS1
  • BulgariaPP2
  • DenmarkV1M1B1
  • FinlandKESK2SFP0
  • SlovakiaPS4
  • IrelandFF3II1
  • CroatiaIDS0
  • LithuaniaLS1LP0
  • LatviaZZSLA
  • SloveniaGS3
  • EstoniaKesk2+ ECRRef1
  • CyprusALMADIPA
  • LuxembourgDP2

EPP

European People's Party
180
seats · −8 since 2024
  • GermanyCDU/CSU20
  • FranceLR11
  • ItalyFI6
  • SpainPP23
  • PolandKO21PSL0
  • RomaniaPNL7UDMR0
  • NetherlandsCDA350+1CU1BBB0
  • BelgiumCD&V2
  • Czech RepublicSTAN5KDU–ČSL0TOP 090
  • GreeceND7
  • HungaryTISZA15
  • PortugalAD5
  • SwedenM5KD1
  • AustriaÖVP4
  • BulgariaGERB–SDS3DB2
  • DenmarkI2C1
  • FinlandKOK3KD0
  • SlovakiaSlovakia2KDH1Demokrati1MA0
  • IrelandFG3
  • CroatiaHDZ5
  • LithuaniaTS-LKD3
  • LatviaASJV
  • SloveniaSDS3+ NINSF1DEM0
  • EstoniaIsamaa2
  • CyprusDISY
  • LuxembourgCSV2
  • MaltaPN

ECR

European Conservatives and Reformists
87
seats · +9 since 2024
  • ItalyFdI25
  • PolandPiS13R+3
  • RomaniaAUR15POT0
  • NetherlandsJA214SGP0
  • BelgiumN-VA4
  • Czech RepublicODS3
  • GreeceEL2
  • SwedenSD4
  • BulgariaDPS1
  • DenmarkÆ1
  • FinlandPS3
  • SlovakiaSaS1
  • CroatiaMost2DP0DOMiNO0
  • LithuaniaLVŽS1NaS1LLRA-KŠS0
  • LatviaNA
  • EstoniaKesk2+ Renew
  • CyprusELAM
  • LuxembourgADR1

PfE

Patriots for Europe
100
seats · +16 since 2024
  • FranceRN33
  • ItalyLega5
  • SpainVox13
  • PolandKonfederacja7+ ESN
  • NetherlandsPVV4
  • BelgiumVB5
  • Czech RepublicANO9Motoristé0Přísaha0
  • GreeceFL1
  • HungaryFidesz–KDNP5
  • PortugalCH7
  • AustriaFPÖ9
  • DenmarkDF2
  • LithuaniaNA2
  • LatviaLPV
  • EstoniaEKRE1

ESN

Europe of Sovereign Nations
47
seats · +22 since 2024
  • GermanyAfD30
  • FranceREC0
  • ItalyFN6
  • PolandKonfederacja7+ PfE
  • NetherlandsFvD2
  • Czech RepublicSPD2
  • HungaryMH1
  • BulgariaVaz0
  • SlovakiaRepublika2
  • LithuaniaTTS0

NI

Non-attached
25
seats · −8 since 2024
  • GermanyBSW3
  • SpainSALF1Junts0
  • PolandKKP5
  • RomaniaSOS0
  • Czech RepublicKSČM0Stačilo!0
  • GreeceKKE1PE1NIKI0
  • BulgariaPB9
  • SlovakiaSmer3Hlas1
  • CroatiaPiP0
  • LithuaniaDP0
  • LatviaST!
  • SloveniaSDS3+ EPPRES0
  • CyprusADK

No group yet

8
seats
  • FranceDLF0
  • ItalyPLD0ScN0NM0
  • RomaniaSENS0
  • NetherlandsDenk0
  • Czech RepublicNaše Česko0PRO0Svobodní0
  • GreeceELAS4ELPIDA1SE1DPK0
  • HungaryMKKP0
  • BulgariaMECh0Velichie0
  • DenmarkÅ0
  • FinlandLIIK0
  • SlovakiaSR0SNS0ZĽ0
  • IrelandAon1
  • CroatiaDrito0Centar0HSU0NPS0
  • LithuaniaLRP0
  • LatviaSVMMNASL
  • SloveniaPIR0SNS0MI!0
  • EstoniaParem0E2000Koos0
  • CyprusKEKKKOSP
  • LuxembourgPPLU0Fokus0
  • MaltaMAD+PD

Parties that would win seats but have no MEPs and no expected group yet.

From the projections of 24 member states, the same ones as on their polls pages; Latvia, Cyprus and Malta have had no polls since their last election, so those results are used. These are national polls, and people vote differently at European elections (turnout is lower, small parties do better), so read this as where Europe stands today, not a forecast. A party whose MEPs sit in two groups has its seats shared between them; parties with no MEPs yet are put in the group they are expected to join, following Europe Elects. Methodology