Countries
Belgium
Our projection
Updated Saturday 24 Oct · 11 polls since the 2024 election · next update 31 Oct
Changes since
- VB17.8%±3.5+4.1 since 2024
- N-VAG14.5%±3.1−1.6 since 2024
- PVDA-PTB13.6%±3.0+3.7 since 2024
- PS10.1%±2.6+2.0 since 2024
- VooruitG8.2%±2.4+0.1 since 2024
- CD&VG8.0%±2.3+0.1 since 2024
- MRG7.3%±2.2−3.0 since 2024
- LEG6.1%±2.0−0.7 since 2024
- Groen4.1%±1.7−0.5 since 2024
- Open Vld3.7%±1.6−1.7 since 2024
- Others3.0%−1.9 since 2024
- Ecolo3.4%+0.5
- DéFI0.2%−1.0
Voting intention
Our weekly projection since the 2024 election, with every poll as a dot behind it
Polls since the 2024 election
11 polls, newest first; each share tinted in its party's color. Click a poll to see it as a picture.
| Pollster | VB | N-VA | PVDA-PTB | PS | Vooruit | CD&V | MR | LE | Groen | Open Vld | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 2026 | ||||||||||||
8–15 Sep · 2,600 | 17.5 | 14.6 | 13.7 | 10.4 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 7.4 | 6.1 | 4.1 | 3.8 | 6.2 | VB+2.9 |
| June 2026 | ||||||||||||
1–9 Jun · 2,605 | 16.7 | 14.2 | 13.4 | 10.2 | 8.1 | 7.8 | 7.2 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 4.4 | 6.5 | VB+2.5 |
| April 2026 | ||||||||||||
9 Mar – 5 Apr · 5,354 | 13 | 17.5 | 14.1 | 8.8 | 8.2 | 7.7 | 7.2 | 6.7 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 7.6 | N-VA+3.4 |
| March 2026 | ||||||||||||
2–9 Mar · 2,602 | 16 | 16.1 | 13.2 | 9.9 | 8 | 7.9 | 7.6 | 6.8 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 5.9 | N-VA+0.1 |
| December 2025 | ||||||||||||
1–9 Dec · 2,602 | 15.2 | 16.1 | 14 | 10.3 | 7.2 | 8.7 | 7.8 | 6 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 5.6 | N-VA+0.9 |
| September 2025 | ||||||||||||
16–23 Sep · 2,600 | 16.9 | 14.7 | 12.9 | 9.5 | 8.6 | 8.4 | 8.6 | 6.3 | 4.7 | 3.6 | 5.8 | VB+2.2 |
| June 2025 | ||||||||||||
27 May – 3 Jun · 2,600 | 14.4 | 16.5 | 12 | 9.4 | 8.5 | 9 | 8.9 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 5.9 | N-VA+2.1 |
| May 2025 | ||||||||||||
23 May · 5,884 | 13 | 16.8 | 12.2 | 8.7 | 9.3 | 8.7 | 8.6 | 6.9 | 4.8 | 3.6 | 7.5 | N-VA+3.8 |
| March 2025 | ||||||||||||
4–11 Mar · 2,600 | 15.9 | 15.8 | 12.9 | 9.4 | 9 | 7.3 | 9.2 | 6.4 | 4.2 | 3.8 | 6.2 | VB+0.1 |
| November 2024 | ||||||||||||
18–21 Nov · 2,591 | 14.7 | 15.5 | 10.4 | 9 | 9.8 | 8.3 | 9.9 | 6.8 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 6.6 | N-VA+0.8 |
| September 2024 | ||||||||||||
11–17 Sep · 2,600 | 14.6 | 16.7 | 10.8 | 8.1 | 9.3 | 7.1 | 9.8 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 4.3 | 7.5 | N-VA+2.1 |
2024 electionResult 9 Jun 2024 | 13.7 | 16.1 | 9.9 | 8.1 | 8.1 | 7.9 | 10.3 | 6.8 | 4.6 | 5.4 | 9 | N-VA+2.4 |
How each pollster is weighted2 companies since the election, by how much we trust them
IpsosVery high
ULB, UAntwerpVery high
From each company's record at past elections and how its recent polls compare with the others'. How this is worked out
Polls: Wikipedia's list of opinion polls for the next Belgian federal election, each linked to the report it comes from (“source” next to the pollster). How the projection is worked out: Methodology.